Major League Baseball just Tweeted out a list of every team’s postseason odds for 2021, as compiled by the Fangraphs website.
Of course, no team has a 100% chance of making it . . . that would be crazy. However, one team DOES have a 0.0% chance: The Baltimore Orioles. (???)
The teams with the BEST odds are: The L.A. Dodgers (96.7%), the San Diego Padres (92.9%), and the New York Yankees (91.6%). The New York Mets are a more distant fourth (81.2%).
The Orioles are the only team with a 0.0% chance, but three others are below 1%. The Colorado Rockies (0.1%), the Pittsburgh Pirates (0.4%), the Miami Marlins (0.7%), and the Texas Rangers (0.8%).
(It’s funny that instead of 0%, they actually listed it as 0.0%. Baseball is probably the hardest sport for a bad team to slip into the playoffs . . . since there a million games . . . so it’ll take a lot for the Orioles to shock the world.)
(To put it another way, Baltimore’s chances of making the postseason are the same as Bluto’s GPA in “Animal House“.)